India had 3.35% chances to win T20 World Cup 2024 final after South Africa's 15th over. South Africa needed 30 runs to win from 30 balls. Jasprit Bumrah conceded four runs in 16th over and Hardik Pandya conceded four runs in 17th over, after which India's win probability rose to 9.31%. India went on to win by seven runs.